KLA Tencor (NASDAQ:KLAC), dan Bath and Body Works (NYSE:BBWI) upgrade rating ke BUY

*** Ini adalah pendapat penulis, silakan berkonsultasi dengan penasihat keuangan Anda dan lakukan uji tuntas Anda sendiri sebelum berinvestasi. Pundireceh tidak bertanggung jawab atas segala kewajiban yang terkait dengan risiko investasi.

Setelah analisa fundamental dan analisa teknikal (Technical Analysis) pergerakan harga KLA Tencor (NASDAQ:KLAC), dan Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI) selama beberapa bulan terakhir, kami memutuskan untuk menaikkan rating mereka menjadi BUY dan memasukan ke dalam portfolio kami.

KLA Tencor (NASDAQ:KLAC)

Mendeteksi adanya pattern Elliot wave dengan ATH (All Time High)

Price: 369.8$ => Target Price: 483$

Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI)

MACD menjadi hijau, dengan pattern Elliot wave

Price: 67.5$ => Target Price: 101$

Untuk analisa lengkapnya akan menyusul di postingan blog berikutnya, terima kasih.

=========================================================

*** This is the opinion of the author, please consult your financial advisor and do your own due diligence before investing. Pundireceh is not responsible for any obligations related to investment risk.

After fundamental analysis and technical analysis (Technical Analysis) of the price movements of KLA Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC), and Bath & Body Works (NYSE: BBWI) for the past few months, we have decided to raise their rating to BUY and add them in our portfolio.

KLA Tencor (NASDAQ:KLAC)

Detect Elliot wave pattern with ATH (All Time High)

Price: 369.8$ => Target Price: 483$

Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI)

MACD turns green, with Elliot wave pattern

Price: 67.5$ => Target Price: 101$

For a complete analysis will be in the next blog post, thank you.

Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), Crocs Inc (NASDAQ:CROX) dan BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX) upgrade rating ke BUY

Setelah analisa fundamental dan analisa teknikal (Technical Analysis) pergerakan harga Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), Crocs Inc (NASDAQ:CROX) dan BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX) selama beberapa bulan terakhir, kami memutuskan untuk menaikkan rating mereka menjadi BUY dan memasukan ke dalam portfolio kami.

Sea Limited (NYSE:SE)

Mendeteksi adanya pattern falling wedge. Menuju ATH (All Time High)

Price: 339$ => Target Price: 386$

Crocs Inc (NASDAQ:CROX)

Mendeteksi pattern yang Bullish. Elliot Wave ke 5 menuju TP (Target Price)

Price: 155$ => Target Price: 174$

BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX)

Ada Elliot Wave pattern, dengan Elliot Wave ke-5 memiliki TP (Target Price) sangat tinggi

Price: 359$ => Target Price: 832$

Untuk analisa lengkapnya akan menyusul di postingan blog berikutnya, terima kasih.

*** Ini adalah pendapat penulis, silakan berkonsultasi dengan penasihat keuangan Anda dan lakukan uji tuntas Anda sendiri sebelum berinvestasi. Pundireceh tidak bertanggung jawab atas segala kewajiban yang terkait dengan risiko investasi.

=========================================================

After fundamental analysis and technical analysis of the price movements of Sea Limited (NYSE:SE), Crocs Inc (NASDAQ:CROX) and BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX) over the past few months, we have decided to raise their rating to BUY and add in our portfolio.

Sea Limited (NYSE:SE)

Detect a falling wedge pattern. Towards ATH (All-Time High)

Price: $339 => Target Price: $386

Crocs Inc (NASDAQ:CROX)

Detect a bullish pattern. 5th Elliot Wave towards TP (Target Price)

Price: $155 => Target Price: $174

BioNTech (NASDAQ:BNTX)

Detected Elliot Wave pattern. 5th Elliot Wave have high target price.

Price: $359 => Target Price: $832

The full analysis will be in the next blog post, thank you.

*** This is the opinion of the author, please consult your financial advisor and do your own due diligence before investing. Pundireceh is not responsible for any obligations related to investment risk.

Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) downgrade rating ke SELL

Setelah analisa teknikal (Technical Analysis) pergerakan harga Shopify selama beberapa bulan terakhir, kami memutuskan untuk menurunkan rating Shopify menjadi SELL

Posting blog ada di sini NASDAQ:SHOP

Terima kasih

===================================================

After technical analysis on Shopify price movement for last few months, we decided to downgrade Shopify to SELL

Blog post is here NASDAQ:SHOP

Thank you

Procter and Gamble (NYSE:PG) produsen barang konsumen dengan pertumbuhan yang positif

Nama: P&G

Kode Ticker: NYSE:PG

Harga: 143.51 $ (per 8-Sep-2021)

Kategori: Large-Core

Sumber: yahoo finance

Sejak didirikan pada tahun 1837, Procter & Gamble telah menjadi salah satu produsen produk konsumen terbesar di dunia, menghasilkan lebih dari $75 miliar dalam penjualan tahunan. Perusahaan ini beroperasi dengan jajaran merek terkemuka, termasuk 21 merek yang masing-masing menghasilkan lebih dari $1 miliar dalam penjualan global tahunan, seperti deterjen cucian Tide, kertas toilet Charmin, sampo Pantene, dan popok Pampers. P&G tidak lagi memiliki merek makanan dengan melepasnya ke perusahaan lain dan yang terakhir, Pringles, ke Kellogg pada 2012. Penjualan di luar AS mewakili sekitar 55% dari total konsolidasi perusahaan, dengan sekitar sepertiga berasal dari pasar negara berkembang. P&G beroperasi dalam lima segmen: Kecantikan; Perawatan diri; Kesehatan; Kain & Perawatan Rumah; dan Perawatan Bayi, Wanita & Keluarga.

Tinjauan Industri

  1. Kecantikan (Beauty) : 19% dari penjualan bersih perusahaan dengan market share 15%. Avon (11%) adalah pesaing utama Procter & Gamble dan dikenal sebagai salah satu perusahaan kecantikan, rumah tangga, dan perawatan pribadi dengan penjualan langsung terbesar di dunia. Pesaing lainnya adalah Colgate-Palmolive, Estee Lauder, Revlon, and Unilever.
  2. Kain & Perawatan Rumah (Fabric & Home Care): Segmen bisnis terlaris perusahaan, mewakili 33% dari penjualan bersihnya dengan nama-nama seperti Tide, Bounce, Downy, dan Febreeze, dengan market share 10.7%. Pesaing utama Procter & Gamble di segmen ini termasuk nama merek seperti Palmolive, Ajax, dan Fleecy dari Colgate-Palmolive, Surf and Persil dari Unilever, dan lini produk Oxi Clean dan Arm & Hammer dari Church and Dwight Co.
  3. Perawatan Diri (Grooming): Gillette adalah pemain pasar yang dominan di segmen perawatan. Segmen ini menyumbang 9% dari penjualan bersih Procter & Gamble dengan market share 70%. Tetapi Bic adalah salah satu pesaing utamanya dengan kehadiran internasional yang besar. Segmen ini juga melihat peningkatan startup—terutama, di ruang cukur dengan nama seperti Dollar Shave Club (sekarang dimiliki oleh Unilever). P&G membeli perusahaan perawatan berbasis langganan Billie—salah satu yang pertama untuk wanita—pada Januari 2020 dengan jumlah yang tidak diungkapkan.
  4. Kesehatan (Healthcare): Segmen ini menyumbang 12% dari penjualan bersih dengan market share 4.8%.Anda mungkin akan mengenali nama-nama populer seperti Vicks, Pepto Bismol, dan Prilosec. Tetapi ada banyak perusahaan lain yang memberi P&G persaingan ketat. Pesaing utama seperti Colgate-Palmolive, Church and Dwight Co., Ecolab, Stepan Company, dan United-Guardian.
  5. Perawatan Bayi, Wanita & Keluarga (Baby, Feminine dan Family Care): P&G memiliki market share 35% di segmen perawatan bayi, wanita, dan keluarga. Pesaing utama termasuk Colgate-Palmolive—dengan nama merek seperti Tender Care—Zwitsal dari Unilever, dan Viviscal and Rephresh dari Church and Dwight Co. Segmen ini menyumbang 27% dari penjualan bersih Procter & Gamble dengan merek seperti Luvs, Bounty, dan Charmin.

Ringkasan Keuangan

Sumber: morningstar

P&G telah melewati semua kriteria daftar checklist kami, kecuali Current Ratio dan Quick Ratio. Hal ini karena P&G memiliki program kerjasama dengan supplier dan bank untuk perpanjangan jangka waktu pembayaran (extended payment terms) [1] Namun dengan interest coverage yang tinggi serta long term debt yang rendah, ini tidak menimbulkan kekhawatiran.

Ringkasan Investasi

Sebagai yang menjual barang-barang dasar kebutuhan sehari-hari, P&G bisa disebut sebagai defensive stock karena produknya selalu dibutuhkan. Meskipun ada beberapa pesaing namun dengan branding dan kualitas yang baik, P&G mampu mendapat profit margin yang cukup baik. PG tetap tangguh dalam lingkungan yang sulit, dengan fokusnya pada produktivitas dan penghematan biaya, yang telah meningkatkan keuntungan bagi marginnya. Penghematan biaya produksi didorong oleh program produktivitas lima tahun kedua (fiskal 2017-2021) yang mentargetkan penghematan $10 miliar.

Seluruh segmen usaha membukukan pertumbuhan penjualan organik, kecuali segmen Baby, Feminine dan Family Care. Penjualan organik masing-masing naik 6% di Beauty dan Grooming, 14% di Health Care, dan 2% di Fabric & Home Care. Namun, penjualan organik turun 1% di Baby, Feminine and Family Care.

Penilaian

MethodeTarget PricePotensi cuanPeriode
Discounted Cash Flow252.643%1-3 tahun
Residual Earning215.233%1-3 tahun
Technical Analysis152.05%3-6 bulan
Tipranks analyst average (reference)154.06%NA
Artifical Intelligence
Kosho AI (reference)
NA-1%3 bulan

[1] https://s1.q4cdn.com/695946674/files/doc_downloads/2021/08/PG_2021_Annual_Report.pdf

*** Ini adalah pendapat penulis, silakan berkonsultasi dengan penasihat keuangan Anda dan lakukan uji tuntas Anda sendiri sebelum berinvestasi. Pundireceh tidak bertanggung jawab atas segala kewajiban yang terkait dengan risiko investasi.

#P&G (NASDAQ: PG) sesuai dengan persyaratan syariah. Kondisi bisnis, produk, dan utangnya memenuhi kriteria Hukum Islam dan halal untuk diinvestasikan, berdasarkan analisis aplikasi Zoya (https://zoya.finance/).

==============================================

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-5.png

Name: P&G

Ticker Code: NYSE:PG

Price: 143.51$ (as of 8-Sep-2021)

Category: Large-Core

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-6.png
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-7-1024x490.png
Source: yahoo finance

Since its founding in 1837, Procter & Gamble has become one of the world’s largest manufacturers of consumer products, generating more than $75 billion in annual sales. The company operates under a range of leading brands, including 21 brands that each generate more than $1 billion in annual global sales, such as Tide laundry detergent, Charmin toilet paper, Pantene shampoo and Pampers diapers. P&G sold all food brands and most recently, Pringles, to Kellogg in 2012. Sales outside the US represent about 55% of the company’s consolidated total, with about a third coming from emerging markets. P&G operates in five segments: Beauty; Self care; Health; Fabrics & Home Care; and Baby, Women & Family Care.

Industry Overview

  1. Beauty : 19% of the company’s net sales with 15% market share. Avon (11%) is a major competitor to Procter & Gamble and is recognized as one of the largest direct selling beauty, home and personal care companies in the world. Other competitors are Colgate-Palmolive, Estee Lauder, Revlon, and Unilever.
  2. Fabrics & Home Care: The company’s best-selling business segment, representing 33% of its net sales with names such as Tide, Bounce, Downy and Febreeze, with a market share of 10.7%. Procter & Gamble’s main competitors in this segment include brands such as Palmolive, Ajax and Fleecy from Colgate-Palmolive, Surf and Persil from Unilever, and the Oxi Clean and Arm & Hammer product lines from Church and Dwight Co.
  3. Grooming: Gillette is a dominant market player in the grooming segment. This segment accounts for 9% of Procter & Gamble’s net sales with a market share of 70%. But Bic is one of its main competitors with a large international presence. This segment has also seen a rise in startups—notably, in barber shops with names like Dollar Shave Club (now owned by Unilever). P&G bought subscription-based care company Billie—one of its first for women—in January 2020 for an undisclosed amount.
  4. Health: This segment accounts for 12% of net sales with a market share of 4.8%. You may recognize popular names such as Vicks, Pepto Bismol, and Prilosec. But there are plenty of other companies that give P&G some tough competition. Major competitors include Colgate-Palmolive, Church and Dwight Co., Ecolab, Stepan Company, and United-Guardian.
  5. Baby, Feminine & Family Care: P&G has a 35% market share in the baby, women and family care segment. Key competitors include Colgate-Palmolive—with brand names such as Tender Care—Zwitsal from Unilever, and Viviscal and Rephresh from Church and Dwight Co. This segment accounts for 27% of Procter & Gamble’s net sales with brands such as Luvs, Bounty, and Charmin.

Financial Summary

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-8.png
Source: morningstar

P&G has passed all of our checklist criteria, except Current Ratio and Quick Ratio. This is because P&G has a cooperation program with suppliers and banks for extended payment terms [1] However, with high interest coverage and low long term debt, this is not a cause for concern.

Investment Summary

As a maker of basic daily necessities, P&G can be categorized as defensive stock because its products are always needed. Although there are several competitors, P&G has good branding and quality. P&G able to get a fairly good profit margin. PG has remained resilient in a difficult environment, with its focus on productivity and cost savings, which has increased its profit margins. Production cost savings were driven by the second five-year productivity program (fiscal 2017-2021) which targets $10 billion in savings.

All business segments recorded organic sales growth, except for the Baby, Feminine and Family Care segments. Organic sales increased by 6% in Beauty and Grooming, 14% in Health Care, and 2% in Fabric & Home Care, respectively. However, organic sales fell 1% at Baby, Feminine and Family Care.

Valuation

MethodeTarget PricePotensi cuanPeriod
Discounted Cash Flow252.643%1-3 years
Residual Earning215.233%1-3 years
Technical Analysis152.05%3-6 months
Tipranks analyst average
(reference)
154.06%NA
Artifical Intelligence
Kosho AI (reference)
NA-1%3 months
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-9-1024x520.png

[1] https://s1.q4cdn.com/695946674/files/doc_downloads/2021/08/PG_2021_Annual_Report.pdf

*** This is the opinion of the author, please consult your financial advisor and do your own due diligence before investing. Pundireceh is not responsible for any obligations related to investment risk.

#P&G (NASDAQ:PG) complies with sharia requirements. The business conditions, products and debts meet the criteria of Islamic Law and are halal to invest in, based on the analysis of the Zoya application (https://zoya.finance/).

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) saham teknologi dengan pertumbuhan teknologi cloud yang kuat dan kepemimpinan yang baik

Latar belakang

Nama: Microsoft Corp

Kode Ticker: NASDAQ: MSFT

Harga: 301.14 $ (per 3-Sep-2021)

Kategori: Large-Growth

Sumber: yahoo finance

Microsoft mengembangkan dan melisensikan perangkat lunak konsumen dan bisnis. Ia dikenal dengan sistem operasi Windows dan rangkaian produk Office. Perusahaan ini dibagi ke dalam tiga segmen luas yang berukuran sama: produktivitas dan proses bisnis (Microsoft Office lawas, Office 365 berbasis cloud, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), cloud intelijen (infrastruktur dan platform sebagai layanan penawaran Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), dan komputasi yang lebih pribadi (Klien Windows, Xbox, pencarian Bing, iklan tampilan, dan laptop Surface, tablet, dan desktop).

Tinjauan Industri

Besarnya pasar untuk operating system adalah 191,12 miliar$ pada tahun 2021 dengan tingkat pertumbuhan tahunan gabungan (CAGR) sebesar 12%. Meskipun masih mendominasi, pendapatan Microsoft dari Windows hanya sebesar 23 miliar saja pada tahun 2021.

Sebagian besar pendapatan Microsoft justru kini kebanyakan dari cloud, yakni 93 miliar$. Potensi TAM cloud computing adalah 446 miliar $ dengan pertumbuhan 18% tiap tahunnya [1].

Pesaing utama Microsoft adalah open source operating system seperti Linux yg dimiliki IBM (NASDAQ:IBM) serta Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL). Sedangkan untuk cloud, ada Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), IBM, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) dan Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL).

Ringkasan Keuangan

Sumber: morningstar

Microsoft memiliki bisnis model yang sangat kuat dan bagus, sehingga memenuhi semua kriteria checklist kami kecuali FCF/Net income sedikit margin saja. Namun ini bisa dijelaskan dengan meningkatnya capital expenditure oleh Microsoft karena banyak berinvestasi untuk masa depan. Dan ini tidak mengkhawatrikan karena pertumbuhan cashflow rata-rata positif dari tahun ke tahun (20%).

Ringkasan Investasi

Di bawah pengawasan yang saya yakini akan dianggap sebagai CEO legendaris Satya Nadella, raksasa teknologi yang berbasis di Redmond, Washington ini telah terbukti menjadi pemenang terlepas dari lingkungan ekonomi atau pasar. Di bawah kepemimpinan Nadella, Microsoft tumbuh dengan kapitalisasi market tertinggi dibanding perusahaan teknologi raksasa lainnya., yakni 261 miliar tiap tahunnya selama hampir 8 tahun kepemimpinannya.

Salah satu faktor utama adalah proses transisi yang sukses dari operating system lama ke operating system yang berbasis cloud. Servis Cloud Azure sendiri tumbuh paling pesat dibanding pesaing-pesaingnya dan mulai mendominasi pasaran.

Server product dan cloud service tumbuh 34% tiap tahunnya dengan Azure sendiri naik 51% dari 2020 [2]. Capital expenditure yang tinggi untuk terus mengembangkan bisnis cloud ke depan.

Penilaian

MethodeTarget PricePotensi cuanPeriode
Discounted Cash Flow335.010%1-3 tahun
Residual Earning349.114%1-3 tahun
Technical Analysis341.012%3-6 bulan
Tipranks analyst average (reference)329.09%NA
Artifical Intelligence forecast
Kosho AI (reference)
NA6.7%3 bulan

[1] https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/01/22/2162789/0/en/Global-Cloud-Computing-Market-Size-Share-Will-Reach-USD-1025-9-Billion-by-2026-Facts-Factors.html.

[2] https://microsoft.gcs-web.com/static-files/0a2b8528-fb8b-4d11-8da2-fd9fa988a155

*** Ini adalah pendapat penulis, silakan berkonsultasi dengan penasihat keuangan Anda dan lakukan uji tuntas Anda sendiri sebelum berinvestasi. Pundireceh tidak bertanggung jawab atas segala kewajiban yang terkait dengan risiko investasi.

#Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) sesuai dengan persyaratan syariah. Kondisi bisnis, produk, dan utangnya memenuhi kriteria Hukum Islam dan halal untuk diinvestasikan, berdasarkan analisis aplikasi Zoya (https://zoya.finance/).

===================================

Background

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image.png

Name: Microsoft Corp

Ticker Code: NASDAQ: MSFT

Price: 301.14$ (as of 3-Sep-2021)

Category: Large-Growth

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-1.png
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-2-1024x491.png
Source: yahoo finance

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Industry Overview

The market size for operating systems will be 191.12 billion$ in 2021 with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12%. Although it still dominates, Microsoft’s revenue from Windows is only 23 billion in 2021.

Most of Microsoft’s revenue is now mostly from the cloud, which is $93 billion. The potential of TAM cloud computing is $446 billion with 18% annual growth [1].

Microsoft’s main competitors are open source operating systems such as Linux, which is owned by IBM (NASDAQ:IBM) and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL). As for the cloud, there are Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), IBM, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL).

Financial Summary

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-3.png
Source: morningstar

Microsoft has a very strong and good business model, so it meets all of our checklist criteria except for FCF/Net income by small margin. However, this can be explained by the increase in capital expenditure by Microsoft because it invests a lot for the future. And this is not worrying because the average cashflow growth is positive from year to year (20%).

Investment Summary

Under the leadership of what I believe will be considered the legendary CEO of Satya Nadella, this Redmond, Washington-based tech giant has proven to be a winner regardless of the economic or market environment. Under Nadella’s leadership, Microsoft grew with the highest market capitalization of any technology giant, which was 261 billion annually during his nearly 8 years of leadership.

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is d730b5fd-9627-4096-9e10-3457bd069da3.jpg

One of the main factors is the successful transition from the old operating system to the cloud-based operating system. Azure Cloud Services itself grew the fastest compared to its competitors and began to dominate the market.

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is 1584ee4f-e9a2-446f-97d5-2355564f6c3a-1.jpg

Server products and cloud services are growing 34% annually with Azure alone up 51% from 2020 [2]. High capital expenditure to continue to develop the cloud business in the future.

Valuation

MethodTarget PriceProfit potentialPeriod
Discounted Cash Flow335.010%1-3 years
Residual Earning349.114%1-3 years
Technical Analysis341.012%3-6 months
Tipranks analyst average (reference)329.09%NA
Artifical Intelligence forecast
Kosho AI (reference)
NA6.7%3 month
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is image-4-1024x537.png

[1] https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/01/22/2162789/0/en/Global-Cloud-Computing-Market-Size-Share-Will-Reach-USD-1025-9-Billion-by-2026-Facts-Factors.html.

[2] https://microsoft.gcs-web.com/static-files/0a2b8528-fb8b-4d11-8da2-fd9fa988a155

*** This is the opinion of the author, please consult your financial advisor and do your own due diligence before investing. Pundireceh is not responsible for any obligations related to investment risk.

#Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) is sharia compliant. Its business conditions, products and debts meet the criteria of Islamic Law and are halal to invest in, based on Zoya’s application analysis (https://zoya.finance/).